End-to-end data-driven weather prediction

Authors Cristian Bodnar · Wessel P. Bruinsma · Ana Lucic · Megan Stanley · Anna Allen · Johannes Brandstetter · Patrick Garvan · Maik Riechert · Jonathan A. Weyn · Haiyu Dong · Jayesh K. Gupta · Kit Thambiratnam · Alexander T. Archibald · Chun-Chieh Wu · Elizabeth Heider · Max Welling · Richard E. Turner · Paris Perdikaris

AI summaryPretrains on diverse geophysical data and adapts to forecasting weather, ocean waves, air quality and tropical cyclone tracks, exploring a foundation model for multiple Earth-system tasks.

Authors Ilan Price · Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez · Ferran Alet · Tom R. Andersson · Andrew El-Kadi · Dominic Masters · Timo Ewalds · Jacklynn Stott · Shakir Mohamed · Peter Battaglia · Remi Lam · Matthew Willson

AI summaryUses a diffusion model to generate ensemble forecasts and studies probabilistic predictions of medium-range weather and extreme events.

Authors Dmitrii Kochkov · Janni Yuval · Ian Langmore · Peter Norgaard · Jamie Smith · Griffin Mooers · Milan Klöwer · James Lottes · Stephan Rasp · Peter Düben · Sam Hatfield · Peter Battaglia · Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez · Matthew Willson · Michael P. Brenner · Stephan Hoyer

AI summaryCombines a differentiable dynamical core with neural-network parameterisations to study weather forecasting and climate simulation, including physical consistency over long integrations.

Authors Kaifeng Bi · Lingxi Xie · Hengheng Zhang · Xin Chen · Xiaotao Gu · Qi Tian

AI summaryIntroduces a three-dimensional architecture for Earth data and hierarchical temporal aggregation, improving medium-range forecasts under the study’s reanalysis-based evaluation and reducing iterative errors.